(16-08-2012, 05:29 PM)orang Wrote: [ -> ] (04-08-2012, 09:18 AM)KopiKat Wrote: [ -> ] (03-08-2012, 02:53 PM)WolfT Wrote: [ -> ]Hi all
I am vested again!
Bought some today!
Compared to the recent hi of $2.8x, $2.54 (Friday close) does look attractive (even after factoring in the 21ct div that just went xd). The Cash = $534Mil (post-div = $302Mil) is another plus for me (but likely to be used for acquisitions).
Still, I can't bring myself to grab some....despite the bullish market.
What's stopping me for now,
- Yield = 4.33% (exclude Special Div)
- Declining profit margin (didn't study in depth, may be due to Foreign Exchange to a certain extent)
As it's not a Growth stock, I'll patiently wait and see (miss is ok). Will make a decision before their 1H results (Div = 5ct for past 3 years) in early Nov, assuming I'm not too distracted by other stocks...
Did you consider the payout for FY2010?
FY12 (Mar) : Interim = 5ct ; Final = 6ct ; Special = 15ct ; EPS = 15.4ct
FY11 (Mar) : Interim = 5ct ; Final = 6ct ; Special = 6ct ; EPS = 17.4ct
FY10 (Mar) : Interim = 5ct ; Final = 8ct ; EPS = 16.7ct
FY09 (Mar) : Interim = 4ct ; Final = 6ct ; EPS = 13.6ct
FY08 (Mar) : Interim = 4ct ; Final = 10ct ; EPS = 18.2ct
Looking at my records on Revenue, SFI must have been acquired in FY10, so prior to that, the figures may not be as useful for comparison purposes. But, looking at EPS vs DPS, it'd seem their Dividend Payout is 70%+ of EPS on years where no Special Div is declared.
So, even if I were to assume an 80% of FY12 (Mar) EPS as DPS,
ie. 0.8 * 15.4ct = 12.32ct
This gives a Dividend Yield = 4.831% (using mkt close = $2.55)
Assuming I target a minimum Yield = 5%, my target buy price would be $2.46 or lower - I think it may have hit that price recently?
No, I didn't do very detailed analysis except for EPS vs DPS but I do keep track of some other Income and BS figures. I do like their High Cash, Low Debt tho'. Main thing that'll trigger me to buy is the Yield and I'd make my decision after comparing against other similar Low / No Growth stocks when it's only closer to those months when they're likely to declare dividends. At other times, I can be triggered to buy if they's any big sudden drop in share prices and it hit my personal target buy price.
Sorry, the yield is not high enough (unless they're going to pay Special Div every year - as posted earlier, I'll be keeping a closer watch on their cash position for such a possibility) for my liking to be a long term hold stock for me.