Q1 new-home sales hit record 6,700

Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
#1
If this doesn't prompt the Govt to introduce a Sixth (6th) round of cooling measures, I don't know what will! It's simply amazing how cash-rich Singaporeans are to be able to snap up properties the way I select desserts at a buffet counter... Confused When I read this piece of news I just shake my head and ask - why does Singapore have to become speculation city, and why is everyone so darn rich? Huh Perhaps the section I highlighted in BOLD can explain this phenomenon.

The Straits Times
Apr 17, 2012
Q1 new-home sales hit record 6,700

Figure even breaks a few full-year totals

By Esther Teo

BUYERS snapped up new private homes at such a blistering pace last month that they helped smash quarterly sales records.

Developers sold 2,393 new units - a touch down on February's 2,417 - making a total of 6,682 for the three months to March 31.

That is not only a record amount for a quarter but exceeds even the full-year totals racked up in 2000, 2003, 2004 and 2008.

The March total hits 3,032 if executive condominiums (ECs), a hybrid of public and private housing, are included.

The rocket fuel for the remarkable sales run remains the amount of cash around in the market, a record number of home launches and rock-bottom interest rates that are enticing buyers to gear up.

Experts say that the unusually high number of launches boosted sales as Housing Board upgraders and local investors entered the suburban market in droves.

DTZ Asia-Pacific research head Chua Chor Hoon noted that 2,582 homes were launched last month, the highest monthly figure in almost two years.

Developers launched 6,982 homes in the quarter, the highest level since quarterly data was collected at the start of 1996.

Ms Chua added that developers were taking advantage of the current buying momentum and relaunching older projects.

There were a further 390 units launched at Riversound Residence, 153 units at Flamingo Valley, and another 100 units each at Archipelago, The Minton and The Palette last month.

Colliers research and advisory director Chia Siew Chuin noted that 76 per cent of sales were in suburban areas, where there were 'intense project launches'.

The strong sales since January have encouraged builders to keep rolling out units while demand is still strong and also before stiffer competition emerges in the form of more projects once the ample supply of state land gets developed, she added.

Buyers also seem to have shrugged off concerns over the global economy, concerns that kept a brake on sales in the second half of last year.

'Market uncertainties arising from the additional buyer's stamp duty are also over, with foreigner buying being curbed and the market still remaining stable,' Credo Real Estate executive director Ong Teck Hui noted.

Experts add that the demand for new homes is likely to hold firm, with mass market sales expected to stay strong.

But although the robust sales have heightened concerns about further cooling measures, they were mainly supply-driven and likely achieved at the expense of little movements in pricing, Colliers' Ms Chia said.

Flash estimates of private property values dipped 0.1 per cent in the first quarter and indicate that the Government's cooling measures have worked to put a lid on price growth.

'Additionally, the private residential market is in a state of flux. While the primary market is active, the secondary resale market has been slow,' said Ms Chia.

'Similarly, although the mass market remains buoyant, the mid-tier and high-end segments are lacklustre. (Thus), it would also be premature to decide on more interventions.'

PropNex chief executive Mohamed Ismail also pointed out that 65 per cent of sales last month, including ECs, were below $1,200 per sq ft (psf). But while buyers are still keen on mass market homes, developers may face resistance if the psf price is too high, he said.

But Jones Lang LaSalle's South-east Asia research head Chua Yang Liang thinks that the risk of further cooling measures is now higher with robust suburban sales volumes.

Suburban home prices also gained 1.2 per cent in the first three months of the year, according to flash estimates.

'Any policy adjustment, however, is unlikely to affect first-time home buyers,' said Dr Chua. 'Buyers making their second, third or more home purchases, are more likely to be affected through further tightening of existing measures.'

The other segments languished behind, with only 57 homes sold in the city centre and 511 in the city fringe region.

esthert@sph.com.sg

------------------------------

The Business Times
April 17, 2012
Home demand rides the wave of new launches

Private homes continue to be snapped up with new offerings from developers
By Michelle Tan

Though they didn't quite touch the record-smashing levels of February, private homes sales continued to remain high in March as they were powered by new launches. The government will release six more residential sites this month to appease the growing appetite of developers and buyers.

The possibility that more cooling measures may lie in store has also been raised.

Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) reported a total of 2,393 private homes - excluding executive condominiums (ECs) - being sold in the month of March, a mere 1 per cent fall from February. Still, this number was 73 per cent higher than in the same period a year ago, reflecting strong underlying demand for new private homes.

This brings the total number of private homes (excluding ECs) sold to 6,682 in the first three months of 2012 - a record for quarterly sales since 1Q 1996 when quarterly data was first compiled and around 41 per cent of the total volume sold in 2011.

New launches have been driving demand, observers say. An eye-popping 2,582 units (excluding ECs) were launched in March.

Said Credo Real Estate executive director Ong Teck Hui: "There is a clear trend of sales launches for private homes picking up ... For the last three consecutive months, launches have exceeded 2000 units per month while in 2011, only April exceeded 2000 units."

Mr Ong also added that if this trend continues, land supply under the government land sales (GLS) programme might have to be reviewed to cope with the spiralling demand.

Sales of ECs also remained at high levels, with 639 units sold in March, slightly lower than the 725 units in the month before, but still more than four times the volume transacted in the same period last year.

Including ECs, the total number of new private homes in March reached 3,032 units.

Units were snapped up in both new launches and projects launched earlier.

Among the new kids on the block, top-sellers included Ripple Bay (326 units sold at a median price of $883 psf), Palm Isles (102 units sold at a median price of $860 psf), Seletar Park Residence (98 units sold at a median price of $1,162 psf) and East Village (83 units sold at a median price of $1,309 psf).

Among projects launched earlier, The Minton (118 units sold), Riversound Residence (115 units sold), Archipelago (93 units sold) and Bartley Residences (86 units sold) saw strong demand.

Though no new ECs were launched in March, buyers - especially upgraders - continued to buy, with The Tampines Trilliant and Twin Waterfalls transacting 369 units and 153 units respectively.

Developers are likely to continue riding the selling momentum with new launches, says Chua Chor Hoon, Head of Asia Pacific Research at DTZ. "Even if monthly purchase activity were to drop by half for the next nine months to a more sustainable level (of about 1,200 units a month), total primary sales would still exceed that of last year," she said.

Demand for higher end units also seemed to become more resilient to the cooling measures, with almost twice as many homes in the above $2,000 psf range being sold in March, compared to February.

The priciest unit sold by a developer for the month was an apartment at Skyline@Orchard Boulevard, which transacted at $4,442 psf.

The bulk of properties sold in March remained in the $1,000 to $1,500 psf range, similar to the month before.

The mass-market outside central region (OCR) continued to dominate demand, with a total of 1,825 OCR units (excluding ECs) sold, just seven units less than the 1,832 homes transacted in February.

"This is the first time we have seen OCR sales sustaining above 1,500 units for three consecutive months," said Chua Yang Liang, Jones Lang LaSalle's head of research (South East Asia). "Going by this rate of demand, we are looking at an average (3-month moving average) of 1,806 units, equivalent to an annualised demand of 21,672 in the mass market segment alone."

Developers continued focusing on this segment, with OCR seeing 2,119 new units launched, some 35 per cent higher than the month before.

Mohamed Ismail, CEO of PropNex Realty also pointed out that though consumers still take keenly to mass market OCR developments, developers may soon face resistance from buyers should prices continue to rise.

Another alternative - more cooling measures - has also been touched upon. Chia Siew Chuin, director of research & advisory at Colliers International noted, however, that it would be "premature" at this stage to roll out new interventions. She noted that in such a market, price movements may serve as a "better yardstick" for more measures as opposed to sales volume alone.

Meanwhile, more launches are on their way in the months to come. These include UOL's 244-unit Katong Regency, Allgreen's 928-unit Riversails, Far East's 338-unit Seahill and Hoi Hup's 376-unit Sea Esta.
My Value Investing Blog: http://sgmusicwhiz.blogspot.com/
Reply
#2
If it is really home equity loan is supporting the hot property market, it will be double whammy when the property valuation drops.
Reply
#3
(17-04-2012, 07:30 AM)freedom Wrote: If it is really home equity loan is support the hot property market, it will be double whammy when the property valuation drops.

I was also thinking of this - how will we know if people out there have taken out equity loans by collateralizing their private property? What are the statistics for such loans and how will these be impacted by an eventual interest rate rise?

Come to think of it, I guess most people don't expect a rate rise till at least 2014, which is why now in 2012 people are still piling into property.
My Value Investing Blog: http://sgmusicwhiz.blogspot.com/
Reply
#4
(17-04-2012, 07:22 AM)Musicwhiz Wrote: PropNex chief executive Mohamed Ismail also pointed out that 65 per cent of sales last month, including ECs, were below $1,200 per sq ft (psf). But while buyers are still keen on mass market homes, developers may face resistance if the psf price is too high, he said.

Can you see how these guru shift their goal post? I remember not to long ago $1,000 psf was often quoted as the affordability benchmark. Now it is $1,200 psf. Maybe very soon anything below $1,500 psf is considered mass market. Many Sillyporean really very rich.
Reply
#5
(17-04-2012, 09:50 AM)Ben Wrote: Can you see how these guru shift their goal post? I remember not to long ago $1,000 psf was often quoted as the affordability benchmark. Now it is $1,200 psf. Maybe very soon anything below $1,500 psf is considered mass market. Many Sillyporean really very rich.

Perhaps they are merely "buying" into the hype? Tongue
My Value Investing Blog: http://sgmusicwhiz.blogspot.com/
Reply
#6
Really so many cash-rich singaporeans around ?!!?

So much cash to pay for downpayment and use CPF loan + Bank loan to buy properties now ?!?!!

I shudder when interest rate start going up and the flood of supply incoming in 2013/2014..

I already find that my 280k 4-room BTO flat in Punggol is already way overpriced... till that Watertown with 1200 psf condo launch in CNY this year...

My close friend just renovated his 5-room BTO flat in Punggol Sapphire and invited us over to take a look over the weekend..

I can see a lot of construction going on in Punggol but there is ZERO AMENITIES !!!

The closest kopitiam is 3 LRT away and the closest place to do grocery shopping is in Hougang or Sengkang compasspoint !!!


The whole property market hype is getting ridiculous !!!!
Reply
#7
(17-04-2012, 10:32 AM)Zelphon Wrote: Really so many cash-rich singaporeans around ?!!?

So much cash to pay for downpayment and use CPF loan + Bank loan to buy properties now ?!?!!

I shudder when interest rate start going up and the flood of supply incoming in 2013/2014..

I already find that my 280k 4-room BTO flat in Punggol is already way overpriced... till that Watertown with 1200 psf condo launch in CNY this year...

My close friend just renovated his 5-room BTO flat in Punggol Sapphire and invited us over to take a look over the weekend..

I can see a lot of construction going on in Punggol but there is ZERO AMENITIES !!!

The closest kopitiam is 3 LRT away and the closest place to do grocery shopping is in Hougang or Sengkang compasspoint !!!


The whole property market hype is getting ridiculous !!!!

Later, Mr Khaw will be blamed for overbuilding the flats and our dear citizens will sing praise of the former MND minister Mr Mah for not overbuilding.

Anyway, for my generation(me especially) that lived in ulu new town many years ago, with no MRT, LRT, no Point here Point there, the current state of punggol is far from ulu.
Reply
#8
If an average performer like me can afford to put down 40% cash to buy a 1 mil property, i believe many others can do it. This is how cash rich Sporeans are. Any measures by govt is useless as long as interest rates stay low. Bubble is blowing but not big enough yet.
Reply
#9
(17-04-2012, 11:32 PM)Bibi Wrote: If an average performer like me can afford to put down 40% cash to buy a 1 mil property, i believe many others can do it.

Wah, this means I am below average! Must buck up.... Tongue
My Value Investing Blog: http://sgmusicwhiz.blogspot.com/
Reply
#10
(18-04-2012, 12:23 AM)Musicwhiz Wrote:
(17-04-2012, 11:32 PM)Bibi Wrote: If an average performer like me can afford to put down 40% cash to buy a 1 mil property, i believe many others can do it.

Wah, this means I am below average! Must buck up.... Tongue

U have to consider that age matters. I believe when u are in your early 40s, u can do the same thing too...
Try to get your HDB fully-paid first, It helps when planning for upgrade next time.
The thing about karma, It always comes around and bite you when you least expected.
Reply


Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 2 Guest(s)