18-08-2014, 10:29 AM
Flaw In Australand Development Unit Valuations?
ALZ's development unit is touted to be the growth division comprising 30 - 40% of EBIT over time. The development division has a projected end value of A$7.5bn based on the annual report.
http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/Target_s...eID=306200
The independent valuer of Australand uses the above simplistic method to value its development divisons - available under section 8.4 from page 103 - 108.
I searched high and low in ALZ's 2013 annual report and found on page 84 value of landbank:
i) http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.Fil...U9MQ==&t=1
and the independent valuation report for details of landbank and found none. There are no details of development landbank. However, FCL spent 1 month performing due diligence at Australand before going ahead with the final offer.
I think Charoen and his team must have done a more detail analysis of the market value of the land bank instead of relying on the simplistic EBIT multiple approach.
Only time will tell.
Vested
GG
ALZ's development unit is touted to be the growth division comprising 30 - 40% of EBIT over time. The development division has a projected end value of A$7.5bn based on the annual report.
http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/Target_s...eID=306200
The independent valuer of Australand uses the above simplistic method to value its development divisons - available under section 8.4 from page 103 - 108.
I searched high and low in ALZ's 2013 annual report and found on page 84 value of landbank:
i) http://phx.corporate-ir.net/External.Fil...U9MQ==&t=1
and the independent valuation report for details of landbank and found none. There are no details of development landbank. However, FCL spent 1 month performing due diligence at Australand before going ahead with the final offer.
I think Charoen and his team must have done a more detail analysis of the market value of the land bank instead of relying on the simplistic EBIT multiple approach.
Only time will tell.
Vested
GG