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Ah, the Bloomberg article explains. I see now. Thanks.

Well I guess now is a good opportunity for TH shareholders to exit then?

(13-11-2017, 06:01 PM)karlmarx Wrote: [ -> ]Ah, the Bloomberg article explains. I see now. Thanks.

Well I guess now is a good opportunity for TH shareholders to exit then?

Well, it depends on your view of where we are in the cycle. A few points to ponder :

1. The rumoured bid price is 50 cents. NAV is 77 cents.
2. The Australian business (which was the first to start suffering during the downturn) is starting to turn around
3. The Chinese Tower Crane biz (which at one point the company was looking to spin-off during an IPO) continues to grow every year
4. Singapore property companies are stocking up on land (see all the en blocs) which will result in construction which will help the crane biz which has otherwise had to rely on public works
5. During the good times, in the last cycle, the share price went up to $1.50+. This is a capital intensive biz with lots of operational leverage, so profits can increase a lot with higher utilisation rates.

I am not saying that they are out of the woods but it does feel like we are starting to turn the corner and a 35% discount to NAV is too great. I would not be a seller at that price.

Vested.

The danger has always been the debts and continued loses, which could lead to a collapse if the downturn is prolonged. If Tat Hong's debt were much lower, it will offer investors more time to wait for the upturn, safely. The market never sold Tat Hong at a price which I thought sufficiently compensates this risk.

While I agree that it seems that the upturn is coming, we never know for sure until it is far behind us. It has been 10 years but the Baltic Dry Index has yet to recover to half of its previous high. Maybe in the next 10 years? I don't know. Likewise, I cannot be certain whether there will be higher demand for Tat Hong's services in the future. There are just to many demand/supply factors to consider, for me at least.

Hence, I thought SCPE's offer of 50cents was pretty generous, and very close to how much I thought it should be worth.

Read both Sin Heng and Tat Hong annual report couple of months back. Was comparing both business. In the end felt Sin Heng has more potential and more conservatively managed. Recent stock price actions seem to reflect that as well.

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/tat-hon...se-company

50cts! :O

Poh tiong Choon
delisting $1.30
NAV 0.419
= 3.1 times

Tat Hong
NTA $0.77
Offer $0.50
=0.65 times

TAT HONG HOLDINGS AN UNDERVALUED GEM

http://aspire.sharesinv.com/51937/si-res...alued-gem/

(16-01-2018, 09:54 AM)ggliao Wrote: [ -> ]Poh tiong Choon
delisting $1.30
NAV 0.419
= 3.1 times

Tat Hong
NTA $0.77
Offer $0.50
=0.65 times

Please take note that it is not accurate to look at Poh Tiong Choon delisting only at NAV numbers. You have to refer to the IFA report for the revalued NAV number to have a more accurate reflection.

THSC Investments Seeks to Privatise Tat Hong Holdings for S$376.6 million

* Voluntary conditional cash offer at S$0.50 in cash for each Offer Share
* Offer represents a premium of 35.5% over the 3-month volume-weighted average price for the period up to and including the Last Undisturbed Trading Date
* Shareholders now have an opportunity to exit their investment at a premium over market-traded prices without incurring brokerage and other trading costs

More details in :
1. http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/THSC%20I...eID=492408
2. http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/THSC%20I...eID=492409

Loss of PUblic Float

Tat Hong Holdings Ltd announced that the percentage of the total number of issued Shares (excluding treasury shares) which are held in public hands has fallen to below 10 per cent.

More details in http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/Tat%20Ho...eID=506639