23-10-2014, 09:24 PM
(23-10-2014, 08:58 PM)CityFarmer Wrote: [ -> ](23-10-2014, 06:37 PM)greengiraffe Wrote: [ -> ]CF,
The bond market is a sucker game and trust me its going to hit the fence for retailers soon.
I stand by my above opinion. I have been warning my buddies who are plying their trade in the high net worth industry to be extremely carefully when peddling the instruments to their clients. The risks are high that a junk bond crisis that has never been heard of is brewing silently in Singapore already. When retailers gain access, I m afraid it will be ITE - another CLOB (where quality of listings are so shitty that there was no real fundamental investments to talk about), S Chip and Junior resources con game that is already under way.
Fixed income provides a false hope that it is less risky and private banks are extending credit very freely on names that sometimes are fundamentally questionable.
Anyway, if you can't make your equity market attractive to have quality listings, speculation alongside with fundamental investments will ebb. That is the tough reality.
What is the main issue here - casino / bucket shop mentality. This mentality is deeply rooted with SGX IMHO.
GG
GG,
I have no strong opinion on the quality of SGX listed bonds. They are highlighted to support my view on liquidity and participation in SGX, which is opposing to your and BlueKelah's view.
BTW, FCL's $600 million issue of PS, is one of the listed bonds mentioned.
Dear CF,
Neither do i have strong views on asset classes.
To me, from my extensive reading, bonds are very risky consider this stage of the global economic cycle where rates are poised to rise.
From the flow of bonds that I m noticing, Tom, Dick, Beng, Seng and Lians are all rushing to tap the market... It is flashing amber. While I have access to new issues, I have chosen to just be a by-stander.
As for resources issue - these are high risks companies that traditionally have their audience in resources rich countries like Australia or Canada. While I m not faulting SGX for diversifying, Singapore simply does not have the expertise to understand the real fundamentals of these high risks ventures apart from the trading of these commodities.
Frankly, has anyone ask oneself - why did Linc for example decided to delist from ASX and relist on SGX. To me, Linc cannot convince ASX experts and decided to head to SGX in hope to have a better future. However, in the first place, Linc's fundamentals must have turned off the experts on ASX.
Then, we had the unresolved penny trio saga. All these companies were trying to convince the public with their resources foray. Unfortunately, their forays are none other than the ultra high risks junior miners that are plentiful and readily available to investing public on ASX.
I seriously dunno but it pains me to pen my above observations. In my days as a remiser and till now as an investor, I have always been cautioning my friends and my ex-clients about the risks of investments. The need to find the right GODfather which is tough and extremely difficult. Many have tried but many have failed as they are none other than a passing darling making a lot for themselves and leaving behind a trail of destruction post the bursting of the stocks' bubble - Informatics, Raffles Edu, Ezra...
To me Dr Wee of UOB, FF Wong of Boustead, CK Ow of St****** and Sp Ship are rare GODfathers that have proven track record that many faithfuls can testify. More importantly, they have ride the various cycles both domestically and globally and they never once ask public to buy their shares. These GODfathers are fast reaching their legacy age and we need renewal. SGX's actions IMHO doesn't help the course of such renewal.
GG