Agreed and thank you i4value for your reply.
There are many type of people and I'm still learning to be a value investor.
I'm terrible at valuating a business. I felt that valuation is more an art than a science. I will try to spend some time this coming Eid Al-Adha reading your book.
Since I'm not able to value a business (accurately), what I did was to leverage on our guru. Let me share an example on how I leverage on guru using "THE" hottest stock in vb.com - Penguin International Limited (PIL).
For many years, valuebuddies had provided detail analysis of of PIL. As there are multiple people providing different analysis, it gives me a sufficient reason to take PIL seriously (as an investment opportunity).
When I noticed that some valuebuddies wrote that their investment was out of money, I started to track PIL stock price closely and of course, it's downward trend. The result of PIL was not good and the price momentum was set and going downward is the only way forward.
Then someone mentioned that the results (Q1 and Q2) was turning around and I did noticed the turning around of PIL stock price.
At that time, I could start to buy or exercise more patient for the Q3 result to be released.
I told myself to be patient and that 2 weeks of waiting was really gruesome. One one hand, PIL stock price was inching up and one the other hand, I need to be absolutely sure that PIL is turning around.
Well, as what they says, the rest is history. Q3 result is even better than Q1 and Q2. Based on these 3Qtr result, I extrapolate and formed my opinion on the FY result and initiated my market operation #1 on PIL.
This #1 operation ended with about 100% gain as I felt that a lot of people is buying PIL and I just sold out when the market is hot.
Then, PIL tighten it's dividend and spending a lot of $$$ in expanding it's business. Because of this (and other unknown reason), the stock price drifted downward again.
Again, vb.com acted as a great source for me to gauge the interest for PIL (as at that time, PIL had emerged as our hot favourite).
Price down trend continue for a few Qtr and when it's closer to the entry price of my first market operation, I began market operation #2.
Shortly, PIL announced it's first buy-back exercise and I surrendered my script with heart full of gratitude.
The result of #2 was about 80% gain and I told myself to wait out and look out for operation #3.
However, #3 did not take place as recently I was occupied by something else more important.
@i4value - I'm very grateful of your teaching and I had skimmed thru your book yesterday and I hope to learn more fundamental analysis and value investing from your generous sharing.
Gratitude!